Skip to main content
parlae.io
Sign in

Start Derrick Henry or Alvin Kamara? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 6:01 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Derrick Henry over Alvin Kamara

Start

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
12.4
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
16.8
fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
23 of 100 at RB
Snap share
56%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs CLE · Questionable

Market projects
9.1
fantasy pts
CLE D vs RB
21.1
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at RB
Snap share
35%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 8 games), Alvin Kamara 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Alvin Kamara, 12.4 to 9.1 projected PPR points. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

SleeperESPNYahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 9 call

Start Derrick Henry over Alvin Kamara in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 12.4 points and Alvin Kamara at 9.1, a gap of 3.3. Alvin Kamara's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 15 and Alvin Kamara at 164.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.4 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 69 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (13, 13, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 15 receiving yards and 0.3 touchdowns (3 and 11 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 3.3 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Derrick Henry and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 16.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 58 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 21.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry played 56 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 8 games), Alvin Kamara 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Alvin Kamara, 12.4 to 9.1 projected PPR points. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Alvin Kamara?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 8 games), Alvin Kamara 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Derrick Henry over Alvin Kamara, 12.4 to 9.1 projected PPR points. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board