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Start Justice Hill or Alvin Kamara? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 2:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Justice Hill: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Alvin Kamara over Justice Hill

Start

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
7.6
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7
Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs JAX · Questionable

Market projects
6.8
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
17.3
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
43%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Justice Hill for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Justice Hill. Justice Hill is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Justice Hill in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 7.6 points and Justice Hill at 6.8, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.2 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Alvin Kamara at ADP 164 and Justice Hill at 206.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 6.8 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 18 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 11, 10 and 11 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 0.8 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 38 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Through Week 8, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Justice Hill. Justice Hill is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Justice Hill?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Justice Hill. Justice Hill is listed questionable.

Should I drop Justice Hill?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board