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Start Kenny Gainwell or Alvin Kamara? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Kenny Gainwell: Listed Questionable (Hip) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kenny Gainwell over Alvin Kamara

Gainwell projects lower, 6.1 to 7.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 164 for Kamara.

Start

RB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
6.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs RB
18.6
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
7.6
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Alvin Kamara. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Alvin Kamara in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 6.0 points and Alvin Kamara at 7.6, a gap of 1.6. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 164, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 6.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (6.5, 6.2 and 5.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.2 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 6.2 and 5.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Alvin Kamara 1.6 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 74 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Through Week 8, Kenny Gainwell played 35 percent of TB snaps, took 22 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 7 against CAR: 19 of 63 snaps, 14 carries for 88 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 8 against ATL: 25 carries for 140 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Alvin Kamara. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Kenny Gainwell?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Alvin Kamara.

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board