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Start Kenny Gainwell or Keaton Mitchell? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 12:51 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Kenny Gainwell: Listed Questionable (Hip) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell

Start

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
6.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs RB
18.6
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8
Sit

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · vs HOU

Market projects
5.8
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Kenny Gainwell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 6.0 points and Keaton Mitchell at 5.8, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 6.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (6.5, 6.2 and 5.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 5.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (7.0 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Kenny Gainwell at ADP 95 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 6.2 and 5.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 7.0 and 4.6 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 5.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Kenny Gainwell 0.3 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 74 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 35 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC host HOU on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Keaton Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Kenny Gainwell played 35 percent of TB snaps, took 22 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 7 against CAR: 19 of 63 snaps, 14 carries for 88 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 8 against ATL: 25 carries for 140 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 8, Keaton Mitchell played 32 percent of LAC snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Kenny Gainwell?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep Kenny Gainwell: he projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Keaton Mitchell.

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?Should I drop Kenny Gainwell?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board