Should I drop Jacoby Brissett for Baker Mayfield?

Not on these numbers alone. Jacoby Brissett projects 159 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 10 games) and Baker Mayfield 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Jacoby Brissett. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

Start Baker Mayfield or Jacoby Brissett? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:21 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Baker Mayfield over Jacoby Brissett

Start

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects: 16.7; fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB: 18.6; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 29 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 3

Sit

Jacoby Brissett

QB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs QB: 16.1; 13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jacoby Brissett?

Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 159 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 10 games) and Jacoby Brissett 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Jacoby Brissett. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Jacoby Brissett in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Baker Mayfield at 16.7 points and Jacoby Brissett at 16.4, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Baker Mayfield's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Jacoby Brissett this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (15.6, 17.8 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 133 and Jacoby Brissett at 229. Market coverage on Baker Mayfield is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 touchdowns (4 and 5 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jacoby Brissett yet. His market-based projections were 15.6, 17.8 and 15.7 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jacoby Brissett is 0.1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Baker Mayfield 0.4 points ahead of Jacoby Brissett on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Jacoby Brissett and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 16.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against DEN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable with a thumb injury.

Jacoby Brissett is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield played 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Through Week 6, Jacoby Brissett played 100 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 249 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 3 against SF: 87 of 87 snaps, 38 of 51 passes for 280 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 4 yards.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 4 against NYG: 66 of 66 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 166 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 4 carries for 18 yards.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 5 against DET: 73 of 73 snaps, 29 of 46 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 6 against LAR: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 35 passes for 218 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jacoby Brissett played 14 games for ARI and scored 235.4 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB16.

He completed 315 of 485 passes for 3366 yards, 23 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 38 times for 168 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Jacoby Brissett?
Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 159 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 10 games) and Jacoby Brissett 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Jacoby Brissett. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.
Should I drop Jacoby Brissett for Baker Mayfield?
Not on these numbers alone. Jacoby Brissett projects 159 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 10 games) and Baker Mayfield 159 (15.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Jacoby Brissett. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.