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Start Baker Mayfield or Joe Fagnano? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 5:36 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Rookie Joe Fagnano to start Thursday night vs. Jaguars, Jesse Minter says (ESPN)

Start Baker Mayfield over Joe Fagnano

Start

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
15.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs QB
19.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
15 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

Joe Fagnano

QB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
9.1
fantasy pts
JAX D vs QB
15.6
9th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
13 of 100 at QB
Snap share
78%
Through Week 8

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Our Week 9 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Joe Fagnano in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Baker Mayfield at 15.6 points and Joe Fagnano at 9.1, a gap of 6.5. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.6 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 214 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Joe Fagnano, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Fagnano is 161 passing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12 and 14 market sources).

That puts Baker Mayfield 6.5 points ahead of Joe Fagnano on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Joe Fagnano and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 15.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 262 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against JAX, with 1.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Joe Fagnano is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 60 of 60 snaps, 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Joe Fagnano played 78 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 25 times and threw an average of 4.3 air yards per attempt.

Joe Fagnano, Week 8 against BUF: 40 of 51 snaps, 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board