Should I drop Caleb Williams for Bryce Young?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games) and Bryce Young 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bryce Young, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.

Start Caleb Williams or Bryce Young? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Caleb Williams over Bryce Young

Start

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 18.8; fantasy pts
NE D vs QB: 14.6; 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bryce Young

QB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 18.0; fantasy pts
TB D vs QB: 15.3; 10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 60 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bryce Young for Caleb Williams?

Not on these numbers alone. Bryce Young projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Caleb Williams 186 (18.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bryce Young, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Caleb Williams over Bryce Young in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.8 points and Bryce Young at 18.0, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Bryce Young's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Bryce Young at 212.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 249 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Bryce Young, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bryce Young is 252 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 7 and 9 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 0.8 points ahead of Bryce Young on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 14.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Bryce Young and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 15.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against TB, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bryce Young has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams played 96 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Bryce Young played 97 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 217 times and threw an average of 9.2 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 2 against ATL: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 3 against CLE: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 47 passes for 291 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bryce Young for Caleb Williams?
Not on these numbers alone. Bryce Young projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Caleb Williams 186 (18.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bryce Young, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Bryce Young?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games) and Bryce Young 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bryce Young, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.