Start Kyler Murray or Bo Nix? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kyler Murray over Bo Nix

Start

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · at DET

Market projects: 16.9; fantasy pts
DET D vs QB: 26.3; most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 44 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 84%; Through Week 7

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 15.8; recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB: 13.0; 3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 38 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Bo Nix for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 148 (16.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bo Nix.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Kyler Murray over Bo Nix in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Kyler Murray at 16.9 points and Bo Nix at 15.8, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyler Murray's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (16.3, 14.9 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Kyler Murray at ADP 139 and Bo Nix at 116. Market coverage on Kyler Murray is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 215 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (10, 12 and 12 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 14.9 and 16.3 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 15.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Kyler Murray 1.0 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Kyler Murray and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 26.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 312 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against DET, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Kyler Murray played 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 151 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.

Through Week 7, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 234 times and threw an average of 5.7 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Kyler Murray?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 148 (16.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bo Nix.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 148 (16.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bo Nix.

Should I drop Bo Nix?Should I drop Kyler Murray?