Should I drop Kyler Murray for Dak Prescott?

Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 10 games) and Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray.

Start Kyler Murray or Dak Prescott? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 12:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 18.0; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 22.7; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Sit

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · at DET

Market projects: 16.9; fantasy pts
DET D vs QB: 26.3; most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 44 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 84%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Kyler Murray?

Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 9 games) and Kyler Murray 168 (16.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.0 points and Kyler Murray at 16.9, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyler Murray's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (18.3, 18.3 and 17.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Kyler Murray at 139.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 18.3 and 17.4 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 215 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (10, 12 and 12 market sources).

That puts Dak Prescott 1.1 points ahead of Kyler Murray on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 2.4 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Kyler Murray and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 26.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 312 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against DET, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 293 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 7, Kyler Murray played 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 151 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Kyler Murray?
Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 9 games) and Kyler Murray 168 (16.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Dak Prescott?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 10 games) and Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Kyler Murray.

Should I drop Kyler Murray?