Start Jordan Watkins or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 10
Updated Nov 11, 3:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Jordan Watkins over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Market projects
- 5.5
- recent weeks avg
- DAL D vs WR
- 35.6
- 7th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 56%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 3.9
- recent weeks avg
- TEN D vs WR
- 40.7
- most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Jordan Watkins for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Jordan Watkins 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jordan Watkins over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Jordan Watkins over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Jordan Watkins at 5.5 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 1.6. No player market is posted for Jordan Watkins this week yet, so his 5.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (5.2 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Jordan Watkins yet. His market-based projections were 5.2 and 5.8 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 5.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
The market-based projection for Jordan Watkins is 0.3 touchdowns (7 market sources).
No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 0.2 touchdowns (7 market sources).
That puts Jordan Watkins 1.6 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Jordan Watkins and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
DAL allowed 35.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.
By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Jordan Watkins is not on the injury report.
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Jordan Watkins played 56 percent of SF snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Jordan Watkins, Week 5 against SEA: 22 of 60 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Jordan Watkins, Week 6 against WAS: 47 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 22 yards.
Jordan Watkins, Week 7 against ATL: 50 of 66 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 56 yards.
Jordan Watkins, Week 9 against LV: 56 of 73 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jordan Watkins played 4 games for SF and scored 4.6 PPR points, 1.2 a game.
He caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 25 air yards.
He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Jordan Watkins for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Jordan Watkins 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jordan Watkins over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Jordan Watkins?
No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Jordan Watkins 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jordan Watkins over Brian Thomas Jr.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?
Week 10 on the board
- Is Jordan Watkins playing Week 10?
- Is Brian Thomas Jr. playing Week 10?
- 49ers depth chart
- Jaguars depth chart
- Week 10 WR rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings