Should I drop Kyler Murray for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray, 18.3 to 16.5 projected PPR points.

Start Brock Purdy or Kyler Murray? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:06 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.3; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 88 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 16.5; fantasy pts
IND D vs QB: 18.8; 11th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Brock Purdy for Kyler Murray?

Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games) and Kyler Murray 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray, 18.3 to 16.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 18.3 points and Kyler Murray at 16.5, a gap of 1.8. Kyler Murray's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Kyler Murray at 139.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 241 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 19 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (6, 8, 6 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 204 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 12 and 10 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 1.8 points ahead of Kyler Murray on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

Kyler Murray and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 240 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Through Week 5, Kyler Murray played 80 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 122 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Brock Purdy for Kyler Murray?
Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games) and Kyler Murray 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray, 18.3 to 16.5 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Brock Purdy?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray, 18.3 to 16.5 projected PPR points.