Start Bo Nix or Kyler Murray? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 2:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 17.7; fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB: 22.1; 4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 16.5; fantasy pts
IND D vs QB: 18.8; 11th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Bo Nix for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Kyler Murray, 17.7 to 16.5 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Bo Nix rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 17.7 points and Kyler Murray at 16.5, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyler Murray's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 116 and Kyler Murray at 139.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 90 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 220 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 13 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 8, 6 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 204 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 12 and 10 market sources).

That puts Bo Nix 1.2 points ahead of Kyler Murray on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Kyler Murray and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 240 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 5, Kyler Murray played 80 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 122 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Kyler Murray?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Kyler Murray, 17.7 to 16.5 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Kyler Murray, 17.7 to 16.5 projected PPR points.