Should I drop Brock Purdy for Tyler Shough?

Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games) and Tyler Shough 172 (17.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough, 18.4 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

Start Brock Purdy or Tyler Shough? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 9:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 18.4; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.7; 12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs PIT

Market projects: 17.1; fantasy pts
PIT D vs QB: 12.9; 4th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 60 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tyler Shough for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games) and Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough, 18.4 to 17.2 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 18.4 points and Tyler Shough at 17.1, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Tyler Shough at 147.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 241 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 233 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (10, 14, 7, 12 and 13 market sources).

That puts Brock Purdy 1.3 points ahead of Tyler Shough on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

Tyler Shough and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 12.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 222 yards and a touchdown a game against PIT, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brock Purdy played 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 190 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 255 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 70 of 72 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 33 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyler Shough for Brock Purdy?
Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games) and Brock Purdy 175 (17.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough, 18.4 to 17.2 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for Tyler Shough?
Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games) and Tyler Shough 172 (17.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Tyler Shough, 18.4 to 17.2 projected PPR points.