Should I drop Bryce Young for Kyler Murray?

Not on these numbers alone. Bryce Young projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games) and Kyler Murray 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bryce Young.

Start Kyler Murray or Bryce Young? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:06 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kyler Murray over Bryce Young

Murray projects lower, 16.5 to 18.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 139 for Murray, 212 for Young.

Start

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 16.5; fantasy pts
IND D vs QB: 18.8; 11th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 5

Sit

Bryce Young

QB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 18.6; fantasy pts
TB D vs QB: 15.3; 10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kyler Murray for Bryce Young?

Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Bryce Young 186 (16.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bryce Young.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kyler Murray over Bryce Young in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kyler Murray at 16.5 points and Bryce Young at 18.6, a gap of 2.1. Kyler Murray still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 139 against 212, and that outweighs a gap this size. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.6 fantasy points for Bryce Young, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bryce Young is 252 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (3, 5 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 204 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 12 and 10 market sources).

That puts Bryce Young 2.1 points ahead of Kyler Murray on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bryce Young and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 15.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against TB, with an interception a game.

Kyler Murray and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 240 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bryce Young played 97 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 217 times and threw an average of 9.2 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 2 against ATL: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 3 against CLE: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 47 passes for 291 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 5, Kyler Murray played 80 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 122 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kyler Murray for Bryce Young?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Bryce Young 186 (16.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bryce Young.
Should I drop Bryce Young for Kyler Murray?
Not on these numbers alone. Bryce Young projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games) and Kyler Murray 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kyler Murray over Bryce Young.