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Start Caleb Williams or Jared Goff? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:06 AM ET.

Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff

Williams projects lower, 18.0 to 18.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 87 for Williams, 106 for Goff.

Start

QB · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
TB D vs QB
14.7
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 7
Sit

QB · DET · at MIA

Market projects
18.6
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs QB
20.3
7th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Jared Goff?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Jared Goff 150 (16.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.0 points and Jared Goff at 18.6, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Caleb Williams still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 87 against 106, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jared Goff this week yet, so his 18.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (21.1 and 16.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jared Goff yet. His market-based projections were 21.2 and 16.1 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 18.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Jared Goff 0.6 points ahead of Caleb Williams on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Jared Goff and DET visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 20.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 7th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 236 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 269 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 8 against MIN: 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Jared Goff?

    Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Jared Goff 150 (16.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Caleb Williams?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board