Start Caleb Williams or Bo Nix? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Caleb Williams over Bo Nix in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.8 points and Bo Nix at 16.0, a gap of 2.8. Caleb Williams's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 210 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (10, 12, 10 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 251 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (8, 9 and 6 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 2.8 points ahead of Bo Nix on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 13.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 8 against SEA: 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bo Nix over Bryce Young.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams.
• Start Caleb Williams over Bryce Young.
• Start Caleb Williams over C.J. Stroud.