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Start Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Baker Mayfield over Malik Willis

Start

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
16.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB
19.9
10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
96%
Through Week 8
Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs DET

Market projects
14.1
recent weeks avg
DET D vs QB
26.3
most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Malik Willis?

Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Malik Willis 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Malik Willis.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Malik Willis in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Baker Mayfield at 16.0 points and Malik Willis at 14.1, a gap of 1.9. No player market is posted for Baker Mayfield this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (16.0 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Malik Willis this week yet, so his 14.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (14.1 and 14.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 133 and Malik Willis at 197.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Baker Mayfield yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.0 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Malik Willis yet. His market-based projections were 14.1 and 14.1 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 14.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Malik Willis is 0.3 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Baker Mayfield 1.9 points ahead of Malik Willis on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 241 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA host DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 26.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 312 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against DET, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Malik Willis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 225 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 4 against MIN: 39 of 39 snaps, 9 of 17 passes for 85 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 7 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 8 against NE: 21 of 32 passes for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Malik Willis?

    Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Malik Willis 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Malik Willis.

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Baker Mayfield?

    Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 9 games) and Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Malik Willis.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board