Skip to main content
parlae.io
Sign in

Start Caleb Williams or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:51 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Start Caleb Williams over Michael Penix Jr.

Start

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
TB D vs QB
14.7
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 7
Sit

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Market projects
16.4
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
17.1
16th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 118 (14.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Michael Penix Jr.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Caleb Williams rookie cardsMichael Penix Jr. rookie cards

Advertisement

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

SleeperESPNYahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 9 call

Start Caleb Williams over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.0 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 16.4, a gap of 1.6. Michael Penix Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.4 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 222 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (7, 7 and 7 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 1.6 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host CIN on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

CIN allowed 17.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 254 yards and a touchdown a game against CIN, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Michael Penix Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Through Week 8, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 59 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Caleb Williams?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 118 (14.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Michael Penix Jr.

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Michael Penix Jr.?

    No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 118 (14.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Michael Penix Jr.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board