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Start Corey Kiner or Ray Davis? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:26 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Latest

  • : Source: Pats' Rhamondre Stevenson expected to miss time with knee tendon issue (ESPN)
  • : Rhamondre Stevenson: Listed Out (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

RB · NE · at DET

Market projects
12.7
fantasy pts
DET D vs RB
18.2
4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at RB
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
1%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
1.4
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs RB
21.8
14th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Ray Davis for Corey Kiner?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Corey Kiner projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.9 a game over 7 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Corey Kiner over Ray Davis.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Corey Kiner over Ray Davis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Corey Kiner at 12.7 points and Ray Davis at 1.4, a gap of 11.3. Corey Kiner's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Ray Davis this week yet, so his 1.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (1.5 and 1.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Corey Kiner is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Corey Kiner, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 54 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (13 and 13 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ray Davis yet. His market-based projections were 1.5 and 1.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 1.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Corey Kiner 11.3 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Corey Kiner and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 75 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 24 more yards.

Ray Davis and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ray Davis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Ray Davis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Corey Kiner played 13 percent of NE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 7 against CHI: 6 of 54 snaps, 4 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 8 against MIA: 11 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 38 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 9 against GB: 11 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 55 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Ray Davis played 13 percent of BUF snaps, took 5 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 6 against LV: 9 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 8 against BAL: 17 of 82 snaps, 6 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 9 against MIN: 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ray Davis for Corey Kiner?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Corey Kiner projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.9 a game over 7 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Corey Kiner over Ray Davis.

  • Should I drop Corey Kiner for Ray Davis?

    No. Keep Corey Kiner: he projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.9 a game over 7 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Corey Kiner over Ray Davis.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board