Start Justice Hill or Ray Davis? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 3:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Justice Hill over Ray Davis
- Market projects
- 5.3
- recent weeks avg
- LAC D vs RB
- 22.5
- 11th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 44%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 12%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 1.4
- recent weeks avg
- NYJ D vs RB
- 21.8
- 14th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 13%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 2%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Ray Davis for Justice Hill?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Justice Hill over Ray Davis.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Justice Hill over Ray Davis in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 5.3 points and Ray Davis at 1.4, a gap of 3.9. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ray Davis this week yet, so his 1.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (1.5 and 1.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for Ray Davis yet. His market-based projections were 1.5 and 1.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 1.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Justice Hill 3.9 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.
Ray Davis and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Justice Hill is not on the injury report.
Ray Davis is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.
Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Ray Davis played 13 percent of BUF snaps, took 5 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.
Ray Davis, Week 6 against LV: 9 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Ray Davis, Week 8 against BAL: 17 of 82 snaps, 6 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Ray Davis, Week 9 against MIN: 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.
He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.
He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Ray Davis for Justice Hill?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Justice Hill over Ray Davis.
Should I drop Justice Hill for Ray Davis?
No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 7 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Justice Hill over Ray Davis.
Week 10 on the board
- Is Justice Hill playing Week 10?
- Is Ray Davis playing Week 10?
- Ravens depth chart
- Bills depth chart
- Week 10 RB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings