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Start Ray Davis or Khalil Herbert? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET.

Start

RB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
2.9
recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB
19.8
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
9 of 100 at RB
Snap share
17%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
1.4
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs RB
21.8
14th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Khalil Herbert over Ray Davis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Khalil Herbert at 2.9 points and Ray Davis at 1.4, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Khalil Herbert this week yet, so his 2.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (2.6 and 3.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ray Davis this week yet, so his 1.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (1.5 and 1.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Khalil Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 2.6 and 3.2 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 2.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ray Davis yet. His market-based projections were 1.5 and 1.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 1.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Khalil Herbert 1.5 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Khalil Herbert and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Ray Davis and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ray Davis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Khalil Herbert is not on the injury report.

Ray Davis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Khalil Herbert played 17 percent of ATL snaps, took 9 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Khalil Herbert, Week 7 against SF: 11 of 69 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards.

Khalil Herbert, Week 8 against TB: 10 of 53 snaps, 4 carries for 12 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Khalil Herbert, Week 9 against CIN: 11 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards.

Through Week 9, Ray Davis played 13 percent of BUF snaps, took 5 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 6 against LV: 9 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 8 against BAL: 17 of 82 snaps, 6 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 9 against MIN: 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Khalil Herbert played 7 games for NYJ and scored 6.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB118.

He ran 16 times for 52 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 4 targets for 4 yards.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board