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Start Drew Lock or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 3:31 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Latest

  • : Coach: Seahawks QB Sam Darnold ruled out with quad injury, is week-to-week (ESPN)
  • : Sam Darnold: Listed Out (Quadriceps) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Drew Lock: Questionable to Out (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Market projects
14.9
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
67 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · SEA · vs ARI · Questionable

Market projects
13.3
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
36 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 2

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Michael Penix Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 9 call

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Drew Lock in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 14.9 points and Drew Lock at 13.3, a gap of 1.5.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.9 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 220 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 5 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (14, 14, 7 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Drew Lock, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 213 passing yards, 6 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (8, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Michael Penix Jr. 1.5 points ahead of Drew Lock on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host CIN on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Drew Lock and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Drew Lock has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 59 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Through Week 2, Drew Lock played 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Drew Lock, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 14 yards.

Drew Lock, Week 2 against ARI: 70 of 70 snaps, 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Drew Lock played 5 games for SEA and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He completed 2 of 3 passes for 15 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 6 times for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board