Start Germie Bernard or Jaylen Waddle? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 8:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Jaylen Waddle over Germie Bernard

Start

Jaylen Waddle

WR · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 13.3; fantasy pts
ARI D vs WR: 34.9; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 86 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Sit

Germie Bernard

WR · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 12.9; fantasy pts
NO D vs WR: 31.8; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 92 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Jaylen Waddle?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Waddle projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 57 (5.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Germie Bernard, 13.3 to 12.9 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylen Waddle over Germie Bernard in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Waddle at 13.3 points and Germie Bernard at 12.9, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Jaylen Waddle, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Waddle is 55 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (7, 8 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Germie Bernard, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Germie Bernard is 54 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

That puts Jaylen Waddle 0.4 points ahead of Germie Bernard on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Waddle and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 34.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 153 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

Germie Bernard and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 31.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and a touchdown a game against NO.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Waddle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Waddle is not on the injury report.

Germie Bernard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle played 68 percent of DEN snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 3 against LAR: 49 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 7 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 4 against SF: 45 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 5 against LAC: 40 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 9 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 6 against SEA: 39 of 60 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard played 57 percent of PIT snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Germie Bernard, Week 3 against CIN: 17 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 4 against CLE: 29 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 5 against IND: 55 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 9 targets and 6 catches for 80 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 6 against TB: 74 of 79 snaps, 12 targets and 11 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Waddle played 16 games for MIA and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 682 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Jaylen Waddle?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Waddle projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 57 (5.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Germie Bernard, 13.3 to 12.9 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Jaylen Waddle for Germie Bernard?
No. Keep Jaylen Waddle: he projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 57 (5.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Germie Bernard, 13.3 to 12.9 projected PPR points.