Start Patrick Mahomes or Jacoby Brissett? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 5:06 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Patrick Mahomes over Jacoby Brissett

Start

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KC · at SEA

Market projects: 16.3; fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB: 12.3; 2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 14 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jacoby Brissett

QB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 15.5; fantasy pts
DEN D vs QB: 16.1; 13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 31 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jacoby Brissett for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 191 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 11 games), Jacoby Brissett 156 (15.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Jacoby Brissett, 16.3 to 15.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Patrick Mahomes over Jacoby Brissett in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 16.3 points and Jacoby Brissett at 15.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and Jacoby Brissett at 229.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 220 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 7, 9 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Jacoby Brissett, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jacoby Brissett is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 7 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12, 11, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Patrick Mahomes 0.8 points ahead of Jacoby Brissett on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Patrick Mahomes and KC visit SEA on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 12.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 157 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against SEA, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Jacoby Brissett and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 16.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against DEN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Jacoby Brissett has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Jacoby Brissett is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and threw an average of 6.3 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 2 against IND: 80 of 80 snaps, 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 3 against MIA: 52 of 52 snaps, 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 4 against LV: 60 of 60 snaps, 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Through Week 6, Jacoby Brissett played 100 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 249 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 3 against SF: 87 of 87 snaps, 38 of 51 passes for 280 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 4 yards.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 4 against NYG: 66 of 66 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 166 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 4 carries for 18 yards.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 5 against DET: 73 of 73 snaps, 29 of 46 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 6 against LAR: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 35 passes for 218 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jacoby Brissett played 14 games for ARI and scored 235.4 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB16.

He completed 315 of 485 passes for 3366 yards, 23 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 38 times for 168 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jacoby Brissett for Patrick Mahomes?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 191 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 11 games), Jacoby Brissett 156 (15.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Jacoby Brissett, 16.3 to 15.5 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Jacoby Brissett?
No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 191 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 11 games), Jacoby Brissett 156 (15.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Jacoby Brissett, 16.3 to 15.5 projected PPR points.