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Start Jalen Nailor or Xavier Hutchinson? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

Start Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson

Start

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · at SF

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
SF D vs WR
29.1
11th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
34 of 100 at WR
Snap share
54%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Xavier Hutchinson

WR · HOU · at LAC

Market projects
3.7
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs WR
30.3
16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
55 of 100 at WR
Snap share
55%
Through Week 7
Target share
17%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Jalen Nailor?

Not on these numbers alone. Xavier Hutchinson projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 9 games) and Jalen Nailor 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 4.7 points and Xavier Hutchinson at 3.7, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (5.8, 4.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Xavier Hutchinson this week yet, so his 3.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (3.7 and 3.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 5.9, 4.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Xavier Hutchinson yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 3.7 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 3.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Jalen Nailor 1.0 points ahead of Xavier Hutchinson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV visit SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 29.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against SF.

Xavier Hutchinson and HOU visit LAC on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAC allowed 30.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against LAC.

By points allowed to the position, Xavier Hutchinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Jalen Nailor played 54 percent of LV snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 8 against NYJ: 29 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Xavier Hutchinson played 55 percent of HOU snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 4 against DAL: 17 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 5 against TEN: 27 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 6 against JAX: 34 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 7 against NYG: 34 of 61 snaps, 2 carries for 12 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Jalen Nailor?

    Not on these numbers alone. Xavier Hutchinson projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 9 games) and Jalen Nailor 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson.

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Xavier Hutchinson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jalen Nailor projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games) and Xavier Hutchinson 34 (3.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board