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Start Joe Burrow or Jared Goff? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Start Joe Burrow over Jared Goff

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs PIT

Market projects
23.5
fantasy pts
PIT D vs QB
12.9
3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs NE

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
NE D vs QB
15.7
10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
60 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Jared Goff for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 138 (17.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff, 23.5 to 16.6 projected PPR points.

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Joe Burrow rookie cardsJared Goff rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Joe Burrow over Jared Goff in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 23.5 points and Jared Goff at 16.6, a gap of 6.8. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Jared Goff at 106.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 269 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 5 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 23.5 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 287 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Joe Burrow 6.8 points ahead of Jared Goff on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Jared Goff and DET host NE on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NE allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 236 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Joe Burrow and CIN host PIT on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

PIT allowed 12.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against PIT, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 298 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 8 against MIN: 72 of 72 snaps, 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 9 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 170 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 74 of 74 snaps, 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 9 against ATL: 57 of 57 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 138 (17.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff, 23.5 to 16.6 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Jared Goff?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.3 a game over 8 games) and Jared Goff 132 (16.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff, 23.5 to 16.6 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Jared Goff?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board