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Start Justice Hill or J.K. Dobbins? Week 9

Updated Nov 5, 7:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Justice Hill: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start J.K. Dobbins over Justice Hill

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
CAR D vs RB
28.3
2nd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
56 of 100 at RB
Snap share
38%
Through Week 8
Target share
4%
Through Week 8
Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
16.8
fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
18 of 100 at RB
Snap share
43%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Justice Hill for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), Justice Hill 38 (4.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Justice Hill, 6.6 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over Justice Hill in Week 9.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 6.5 points and Justice Hill at 6.5, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. J.K. Dobbins's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take J.K. Dobbins at ADP 90 and Justice Hill at 206. Market coverage on J.K. Dobbins is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for J.K. Dobbins, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 26 rushing yards and 0.3 touchdowns (7 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 14 rushing yards, 15 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts J.K. Dobbins 0.0 points ahead of Justice Hill on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 16.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 58 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 36 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, J.K. Dobbins played 38 percent of DEN snaps, took 50 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 7 against ARI: 14 of 61 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 8 against KC: 13 of 62 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 8, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for J.K. Dobbins?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), Justice Hill 38 (4.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Justice Hill, 6.6 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Justice Hill?

    No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), Justice Hill 38 (4.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Justice Hill, 6.6 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins?Should I drop Justice Hill?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board