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Start Justice Hill or MarShawn Lloyd? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 2:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Justice Hill: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Justice Hill

Lloyd projects lower, 6.6 to 6.8, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 125 for Lloyd, 206 for Hill.

Start

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · at NE

Market projects
6.6
recent weeks avg
NE D vs RB
20.6
13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs JAX · Questionable

Market projects
6.8
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
17.3
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
43%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Justice Hill for MarShawn Lloyd?

Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 8 games), Justice Hill 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Justice Hill. Justice Hill is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Justice Hill in Week 9.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 6.6 points and Justice Hill at 6.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. MarShawn Lloyd still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 125 against 206, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd this week yet, so his 6.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.4, 3.5 and 4.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.8 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 18 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 11, 10 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd yet. His market-based projections were 11.5, 3.5 and 4.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Justice Hill 0.2 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 38 more yards.

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 11 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd played 35 percent of GB snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 8 against CAR: 11 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for MarShawn Lloyd?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 8 games), Justice Hill 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Justice Hill. Justice Hill is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Justice Hill?

    No. Keep MarShawn Lloyd: he projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 8 games), Justice Hill 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Justice Hill. Justice Hill is listed questionable.

Should I drop Justice Hill?Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board