Start Justice Hill or Tyjae Spears? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 1:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 11:43 AM ET: Tyjae Spears: Questionable to Out (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)
Oct 23, 4:13 PM ET: Tyjae Spears: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill

Start

Tyjae Spears

RB · TEN · at CIN · Questionable

Market projects: 5.6; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB: 17.9; 4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 6 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 42%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 4.8; fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB: 27.3; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 61 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 43%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Justice Hill for Tyjae Spears?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 51 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 41 (4.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill. Tyjae Spears is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Tyjae Spears at 5.6 points and Justice Hill at 4.8, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyjae Spears this week yet, so his 5.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (5.0, 6.3 and 5.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tyjae Spears at ADP 132 and Justice Hill at 206.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Tyjae Spears yet. His market-based projections were 5.0, 6.4 and 5.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyjae Spears is 0.2 touchdowns (11 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.8 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 11 rushing yards, 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 12, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Tyjae Spears 0.8 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Tyjae Spears and TEN visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 17.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears played 42 percent of TEN snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyjae Spears, Week 3 against NYG: 28 of 60 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 4 against BAL: 23 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 5 against HOU: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 9 targets and 9 catches for 28 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 6 against IND: 11 of 46 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Through Week 7, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justice Hill for Tyjae Spears?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 51 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 41 (4.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill. Tyjae Spears is listed questionable.
Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Justice Hill?
No. Keep Tyjae Spears: he projects 51 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 9 games), Justice Hill 41 (4.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill. Tyjae Spears is listed questionable.

Should I drop Justice Hill?Should I drop Tyjae Spears?