Start Tyler Goodson or Justice Hill? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 8:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyler Goodson over Justice Hill

Start

Tyler Goodson

RB · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 4.9; fantasy pts
ARI D vs RB: 21.9; 15th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 15%; Through Week 7
Target share: 2%; Through Week 7

Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 4.8; fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB: 27.3; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 59 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 43%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Tyler Goodson for Justice Hill?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 41 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 9 games), Tyler Goodson 26 (2.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyler Goodson over Justice Hill, 4.9 to 4.9 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Tyler Goodson over Justice Hill in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Tyler Goodson at 4.9 points and Justice Hill at 4.8, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyler Goodson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Tyler Goodson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.9 fantasy points for Tyler Goodson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Goodson is 20 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (8 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.9 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 11 rushing yards, 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 12, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Tyler Goodson 0.1 points ahead of Justice Hill on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Tyler Goodson and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Goodson is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Tyler Goodson played 15 percent of DAL snaps, took 17 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Goodson, Week 4 against HOU: 16 of 78 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyler Goodson, Week 5 against TB: 3 of 60 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyler Goodson, Week 6 against GB: 11 of 78 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Tyler Goodson, Week 7 against PHI: 14 of 68 snaps, 10 carries for 38 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Justice Hill played 43 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Goodson played 11 games for IND and scored 5.2 PPR points, 0.5 a game, finishing RB121.

He ran 9 times for 24 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 8 yards.

He was on the field for 5 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyler Goodson for Justice Hill?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 41 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 9 games), Tyler Goodson 26 (2.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyler Goodson over Justice Hill, 4.9 to 4.9 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Justice Hill for Tyler Goodson?
No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 41 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 9 games), Tyler Goodson 26 (2.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyler Goodson over Justice Hill, 4.9 to 4.9 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Justice Hill?