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Start Malik Nabers or Justin Jefferson? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

Start Justin Jefferson over Malik Nabers

Start

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
16.3
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs WR
42.3
most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
77%
Through Week 8
Target share
27%
Through Week 8
Sit

Malik Nabers

WR · NYG · at PHI

Market projects
15.1
recent weeks avg
PHI D vs WR
40.1
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Through Week 7
Target share
30%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Malik Nabers for Justin Jefferson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justin Jefferson projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 9 games), Malik Nabers 119 (13.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Malik Nabers.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Malik Nabers in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.3 points and Malik Nabers at 15.1, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justin Jefferson this week yet, so his 16.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (15.8 and 16.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Malik Nabers this week yet, so his 15.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (15.7 and 14.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Malik Nabers at 35.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Justin Jefferson yet. His market-based projections were 15.8 and 16.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 0-1 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Malik Nabers yet. His market-based projections were 15.7 and 14.4 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 15.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Malik Nabers is 0-1 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 1.2 points ahead of Malik Nabers on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 42.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 174 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against BUF.

Malik Nabers and NYG visit PHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PHI allowed 40.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 184 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Malik Nabers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Justin Jefferson played 77 percent of MIN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 7 against IND: 55 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 8 against DET: 9 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Malik Nabers played 76 percent of NYG snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Malik Nabers, Week 4 against ARI: 51 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 112 yards, 1 touchdown.

Malik Nabers, Week 5 against WAS: 80 of 89 snaps, 20 targets and 11 catches for 121 yards, 1 touchdown.

Malik Nabers, Week 6 against NO: 66 of 77 snaps, 15 targets and 12 catches for 165 yards.

Malik Nabers, Week 7 against HOU: 48 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 111 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Nabers played 4 games for NYG and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.

He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 219 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Malik Nabers for Justin Jefferson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Justin Jefferson projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 9 games), Malik Nabers 119 (13.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Malik Nabers.

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Malik Nabers?

    No. Keep Justin Jefferson: he projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 9 games), Malik Nabers 119 (13.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Malik Nabers.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board