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Start Chris Olave or Justin Jefferson? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave

Start

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
16.3
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs WR
37.1
5th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
90 of 100 at WR
Snap share
80%
Through Week 8
Target share
27%
Through Week 8
Sit

Chris Olave

WR · NO · vs CLE

Market projects
16.3
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
73 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 7
Target share
27%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Chris Olave?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Justin Jefferson 139 (15.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.3 points and Chris Olave at 16.3, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justin Jefferson this week yet, so his 16.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (15.8 and 16.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Chris Olave this week yet, so his 16.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (17.2 and 15.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Chris Olave at 25.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Justin Jefferson yet. His market-based projections were 15.8 and 16.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Chris Olave yet. His market-based projections were 17.2 and 15.4 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 16.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 0-1 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 0.0 points ahead of Chris Olave on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 37.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 154 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against BUF.

Chris Olave and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 137 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Justin Jefferson played 80 percent of MIN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 7 against IND: 55 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 8 against DET: 51 of 53 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Chris Olave played 81 percent of NO snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 4 against ATL: 64 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 8 catches for 116 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 5 against MIN: 41 of 45 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 46 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 6 against NYG: 42 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chris Olave, Week 7 against PIT: 44 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 56 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Chris Olave?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Justin Jefferson 139 (15.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Chris Olave for Justin Jefferson?

    No. Keep Chris Olave: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Justin Jefferson 139 (15.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board