Start Justin Jefferson or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 1:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Justin Jefferson over Tetairoa McMillan

Start

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 15.7; fantasy pts
IND D vs WR: 30.8; 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 74%; Through Week 5
Target share: 25%; Through Week 5

Sit

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 15.3; fantasy pts
TB D vs WR: 32.9; 14th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 86 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 85%; Through Week 6
Target share: 26%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Tetairoa McMillan?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 11 games), Justin Jefferson 102 (9.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Tetairoa McMillan, 15.7 to 15.3 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Tetairoa McMillan rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 7 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 15.7 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 15.3, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Tetairoa McMillan at 31.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 75 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 9 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 70 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (11, 9 and 13 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 0.4 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 30.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 32.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 146 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson played 74 percent of MIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan played 85 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 3 against CLE: 73 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 11 games), Justin Jefferson 102 (9.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Tetairoa McMillan, 15.7 to 15.3 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Justin Jefferson?
No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 11 games), Justin Jefferson 102 (9.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Tetairoa McMillan, 15.7 to 15.3 projected PPR points.