Start Justin Jefferson or Zay Flowers? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Zay Flowers in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.5 points and Zay Flowers at 15.7, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Zay Flowers at 23.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 78 receiving yards, 6-7 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (14, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 4 rushing yards, 70 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (6, 13, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 0.9 points ahead of Zay Flowers on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Zay Flowers and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 36.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 158 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAC.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Justin Jefferson played 82 percent of MIN snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 7 against IND: 55 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 8 against DET: 51 of 53 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 9 against BUF: 47 of 48 snaps, 11 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards.

Through Week 9, Zay Flowers played 67 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 42 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 9 against JAX: 37 of 56 snaps, 3 carries for 17 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Justin Jefferson.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.
• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Zay Flowers.
• Start Zay Flowers over Carnell Tate.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Zay Flowers.