Start Kenny Gainwell or MarShawn Lloyd? Week 9
Updated Nov 4, 7:16 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Kenny Gainwell: Listed Questionable (Hip) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Kenny Gainwell over MarShawn Lloyd
Gainwell projects lower, 6.1 to 6.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 125 for Lloyd.
- Market projects
- 6.0
- recent weeks avg
- CHI D vs RB
- 17.8
- 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 37%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 6.6
- recent weeks avg
- NE D vs RB
- 18.9
- 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Kenny Gainwell?
Not on these numbers alone. MarShawn Lloyd projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.0 a game over 8 games) and Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over MarShawn Lloyd.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Kenny Gainwell over MarShawn Lloyd in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 6.0 points and MarShawn Lloyd at 6.6, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 125, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 6.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (6.5, 6.2 and 5.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd this week yet, so his 6.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.4, 3.5 and 4.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd yet. His market-based projections were 11.5, 3.5 and 4.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).
No Week 9 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 6.2 and 5.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
The market-based projection for Kenny Gainwell is 0.2 touchdowns (10 market sources).
That puts MarShawn Lloyd 0.6 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
NE allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 6th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 31 more yards.
Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CHI allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 33 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.
Injury status
MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.
Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd played 35 percent of GB snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.
MarShawn Lloyd, Week 8 against CAR: 11 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.
Through Week 8, Kenny Gainwell played 37 percent of TB snaps, took 22 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 7 against CAR: 19 of 63 snaps, 14 carries for 88 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Kenny Gainwell, Week 8 against ATL: 30 of 60 snaps, 25 carries for 140 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.
He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.
He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Kenny Gainwell?
Not on these numbers alone. MarShawn Lloyd projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.0 a game over 8 games) and Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over MarShawn Lloyd.
Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for MarShawn Lloyd?
Not on these numbers alone. Kenny Gainwell projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games) and MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over MarShawn Lloyd.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Kenny Gainwell playing Week 9?
- Is MarShawn Lloyd playing Week 9?
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Packers depth chart
- Week 9 RB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings