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Start T.J. Hockenson or Kyle Pitts Sr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 7:11 PM ET.

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson

Pitts projects lower, 9.4 to 10.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 84 for Pitts, 224 for Hockenson.

Start

TE · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
9.4
recent weeks avg
KC D vs TE
17.8
5th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
75 of 100 at TE
Snap share
59%
Through Week 9
Target share
18%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · MIN · at GB

Market projects
10.3
fantasy pts
GB D vs TE
9.0
2nd fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
51 of 100 at TE
Snap share
65%
Through Week 9
Target share
21%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for T.J. Hockenson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. T.J. Hockenson projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.3 a game over 8 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 55 (7.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 9.4 points and T.J. Hockenson at 10.3, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyle Pitts Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 84 against 224, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr. this week yet, so his 9.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (8.7, 8.6 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.3 fantasy points for T.J. Hockenson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for T.J. Hockenson is 40 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 6 and 6 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 8.7, 8.6 and 10.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Kyle Pitts Sr. is 0.3 touchdowns (9 market sources).

That puts T.J. Hockenson 1.0 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

T.J. Hockenson and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 9.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 35 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against GB.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 66 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC.

By points allowed to the position, Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

T.J. Hockenson is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson played 65 percent of MIN snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 5 against NO: 2 of 71 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 7 against IND: 45 of 59 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 8 against DET: 44 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 58 yards, 1 touchdown.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 9 against BUF: 7 targets and 4 catches for 33 yards.

Through Week 9, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 59 percent of ATL snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 7 against SF: 38 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 8 against TB: 29 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 9 against CIN: 42 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for T.J. Hockenson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. T.J. Hockenson projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.3 a game over 8 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 55 (7.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Kyle Pitts Sr.?

    No. Keep T.J. Hockenson: he projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.3 a game over 8 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 55 (7.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson.

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board