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Trade A.J. Brown for Jaylen Waddle? No, Brown is worth 12 more.

No on value. A.J. Brown is worth 39 rest of season and Jaylen Waddle 27, so giving up Brown costs 12. Brown rates 13.4 market points a game with 9 games left, Waddle 12.1 with 9. On usage, Brown has drawn 22 percent of NE targets; Waddle has drawn 23 percent of DEN targets. Brown is at MIA in Week 8 (3rd fewest points allowed to WRs); Waddle hosts KC in Week 8 (2nd fewest points allowed to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (ankle); Jaylen Waddle is listed Questionable (undisclosed).

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping A.J. Brown wins by 12.

A.J. Brown 3927 Jaylen Waddle

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A.J. Brown

WR19NEQuestionable

39

value, #40

Pts/game
13.4
Games left
9
Bye
11
A.J. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projection3.315.513.4

Jaylen Waddle

WR22DENQuestionable

27

value, #47

Pts/game
12.1
Games left
9
Bye
10
Jaylen Waddle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.512.412.210.812.02.1

Where the values come from

Brown is the 19th receiver on the chart and 40th overall. His 13.4 a game is 4.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 39.

Waddle is the 22nd receiver on the chart and 47th overall. His 12.1 a game is 3.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 27.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had A.J. Brown at 3.3 in Week 6, 15.5 in Week 7 and 13.4 in Week 8, a median of 13.4 points a game, up 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Jaylen Waddle at 12.5 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4, 12.2 in Week 5, 10.8 in Week 6, 12.0 in Week 7 and 2.1 in Week 8, a median of 12.1 points a game, down 10.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

A.J. Brown has scored 19.1 PPR points in 3 games, 6.4 a game, 7.0 a game less than the 13.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR11 with 220.3 PPR points in 15 games with PHI, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 5.6 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, 44 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 5.7 points (WR59 that week), 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs CHI: 7.8 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

Jaylen Waddle has scored 63.9 PPR points in 7 games, 9.1 a game, 3.0 a game less than the 12.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR24 with 194.1 PPR points in 16 games with MIA, 12.1 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 1.2 points (WR102 that week), 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 21.8 points (WR9 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.4 points (WR65 that week), 14 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 14.5 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 4.8 points (WR66 that week), 9 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards, 65 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SEA: 6.4 points (WR56 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 24 yards, 65 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs ARI: 8.8 points (WR29 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 48 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has averaged 6.7 targets and 3.0 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 3 games.

In Week 7 against CHI he had 6 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Jaylen Waddle has averaged 6.4 targets and 3.7 catches for 39 yards a game on 66 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 7 games.

In Week 7 against ARI he had 7 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. A.J. Brown has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Jaylen Waddle has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

MIA, Brown's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to WRs of 32.

KC, Waddle's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Jaylen Waddle would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

Other trades for A.J. Brown and Jaylen Waddle

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade A.J. Brown for Jaylen Waddle?

    No on value: A.J. Brown is worth 39 and Jaylen Waddle 27, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, A.J. Brown or Jaylen Waddle?

    A.J. Brown, 39 to 27. He rates 13.4 market points a game over 9 games left, against 12.1 over 9 for Jaylen Waddle, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 11:31 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number