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Trade A.J. Brown for DeVonta Smith? Close to even, 39 to 47.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value A.J. Brown is 39 and DeVonta Smith is 47, a 8 point edge to Smith that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Brown rates 13.4 market points a game with 9 games left, Smith 14.3 with 9. On usage, Brown has drawn 22 percent of NE targets; Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets. Brown is at MIA in Week 8 (3rd fewest points allowed to WRs); Smith is at WAS in Week 8 (6th most points allowed to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (ankle); DeVonta Smith is listed Questionable (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

A.J. Brown 3947 DeVonta Smith

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A.J. Brown

WR19NEQuestionable

39

value, #40

Pts/game
13.4
Games left
9
Bye
11
A.J. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projection3.315.513.4

DeVonta Smith

WR14PHIQuestionable

47

value, #32

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
9
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.314.32.1no projection15.72.1

Where the values come from

Brown is the 19th receiver on the chart and 40th overall. His 13.4 a game is 4.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 39.

Smith is the 14th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 14.3 a game is 5.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 47.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had A.J. Brown at 3.3 in Week 6, 15.5 in Week 7 and 13.4 in Week 8, a median of 13.4 points a game, up 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 2.1 in Week 5, 15.7 in Week 7 and 2.1 in Week 8, a median of 14.3 points a game, down 13.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

A.J. Brown has scored 19.1 PPR points in 3 games, 6.4 a game, 7.0 a game less than the 13.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR11 with 220.3 PPR points in 15 games with PHI, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 5.6 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, 44 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 5.7 points (WR59 that week), 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs CHI: 7.8 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

DeVonta Smith has scored 69.0 PPR points in 4 games, 17.3 a game, 2.9 a game more than the 14.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CAR: 20.5 points (WR8 that week), 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has averaged 6.7 targets and 3.0 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 3 games.

In Week 7 against CHI he had 6 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has averaged 10.3 targets and 6-7 catches for 78 yards a game on 86 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 6 against CAR he had 14 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. A.J. Brown has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; DeVonta Smith has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

MIA, Brown's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to WRs of 32.

WAS, Smith's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade A.J. Brown for DeVonta Smith?

    It is close to even: A.J. Brown is 39 and DeVonta Smith is 47 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith?

    DeVonta Smith, 47 to 39. He rates 14.3 market points a game over 9 games left, against 13.4 over 9 for A.J. Brown, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 11:31 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number