Skip to main content
parlae.io
Sign in

Trade A.J. Brown for George Pickens? Close to even, 39 to 46.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value A.J. Brown is 39 and George Pickens is 46, a 7 point edge to Pickens that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Brown rates 13.4 market points a game with 9 games left, Pickens 14.2 with 9. On usage, Brown has drawn 22 percent of NE targets; Pickens has drawn 22 percent of DAL targets. Brown is at MIA in Week 8 (3rd fewest points allowed to WRs); Pickens hosts ARI in Week 8 (12th most points allowed to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (ankle); George Pickens is listed Questionable (shoulder).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

A.J. Brown 3946 George Pickens

Advertisement

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

Give Brown, get PickensGive Pickens, get Brown

In a dynasty league? Run it in the dynasty trade calculator.

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

SleeperESPNYahoo

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

A.J. Brown

WR19NEQuestionable

39

value, #40

Pts/game
13.4
Games left
9
Bye
11
A.J. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projection3.315.513.4

George Pickens

WR15DALQuestionable

46

value, #33

Pts/game
14.2
Games left
9
Bye
14
George Pickens weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.013.914.814.313.814.8

Where the values come from

Brown is the 19th receiver on the chart and 40th overall. His 13.4 a game is 4.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 39.

Pickens is the 15th receiver on the chart and 33rd overall. His 14.2 a game is 5.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 46.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had A.J. Brown at 3.3 in Week 6, 15.5 in Week 7 and 13.4 in Week 8, a median of 13.4 points a game, up 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had George Pickens at 14.0 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 14.8 in Week 5, 14.3 in Week 6, 13.9 in Week 7 and 14.8 in Week 8, a median of 14.2 points a game, up 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

A.J. Brown has scored 19.1 PPR points in 3 games, 6.4 a game, 7.0 a game less than the 13.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR11 with 220.3 PPR points in 15 games with PHI, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 5.6 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, 44 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 5.7 points (WR59 that week), 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs CHI: 7.8 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

George Pickens has scored 97.5 PPR points in 7 games, 13.9 a game, level with the 14.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR5 with 291.9 PPR points in 17 games, 17.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 5.8 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 28 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 10.0 points (WR34 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 15.2 points (WR23 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 82 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 9.5 points (WR45 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 75 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 28.0 points (WR5 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 130 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.3 points (WR27 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs PHI: 15.7 points (WR18 that week), 4 of 6 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 60 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has averaged 6.7 targets and 3.0 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 3 games.

In Week 7 against CHI he had 6 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, George Pickens has averaged 8.3 targets and 5.3 catches for 69 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against PHI he had 6 targets on 60 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. A.J. Brown has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; George Pickens has 9 games with his bye in Week 14.

MIA, Brown's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to WRs of 32.

ARI, Pickens's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 33.6 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for A.J. Brown and George Pickens

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade A.J. Brown for George Pickens?

    It is close to even: A.J. Brown is 39 and George Pickens is 46 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, A.J. Brown or George Pickens?

    George Pickens, 46 to 39. He rates 14.2 market points a game over 9 games left, against 13.4 over 9 for A.J. Brown, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 11:31 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number