Skip to main content
parlae.ioBeta
Sign in

Trade Michael Wilson for Patrick Mahomes? No, Wilson is worth 11 more.

No on value. Michael Wilson is worth 17 rest of season and Patrick Mahomes 6, so giving up Wilson costs 11. Wilson rates 10.9 market points a game with 10 games left, Mahomes 17.4 with 11. On usage, Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets; Mahomes has thrown 31.6 passes and run 2.2 times a game. Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs); Mahomes is at SEA in Week 7 (2nd fewest points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Michael Wilson wins by 11.

Michael Wilson 176 Patrick Mahomes

Advertisement

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

Give Wilson, get MahomesGive Mahomes, get Wilson

In a dynasty league? Run it in the dynasty trade calculator.

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

SleeperESPNYahoo

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Patrick Mahomes

QB7KC

6

value, #73

Pts/game
17.4
Games left
11
Bye
5
Patrick Mahomes weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
18.317.7no projection17.116.3

Where the values come from

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

Mahomes is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 73rd overall. His 17.4 a game is 0.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 6.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4, 17.1 in Week 6 and 16.3 in Week 7, a median of 17.4 points a game, down 2.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Patrick Mahomes has scored 97.1 PPR points in 5 games, 19.4 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 17.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB11 with 296.7 PPR points in 14 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 184 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 points (QB4 that week), 382 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 points (QB20 that week), 246 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 points (QB13 that week), 225 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 11.5 points (QB23 that week), 272 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 16 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has averaged 31.6 attempts, 262 passing yards and 1.8 touchdown passes a game, with 2.2 runs for 13 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against LAC he went 23 of 30 for 272 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Michael Wilson has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Patrick Mahomes has 11 games with no bye left.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

SEA, Mahomes's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 12.3 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Patrick Mahomes would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Wilson also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Michael Wilson and Patrick Mahomes

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Michael Wilson for Patrick Mahomes?

    No on value: Michael Wilson is worth 17 and Patrick Mahomes 6, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Wilson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Michael Wilson or Patrick Mahomes?

    Michael Wilson, 17 to 6. He rates 10.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 17.4 over 11 for Patrick Mahomes, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number