Should I start Caleb Williams or Dalton Kincaid in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Caleb Williams's market-based projection is 18.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 12th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 9.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 91st highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 186 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against SEA he completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 10.1 air yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 8.6 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 and Dalton Kincaid TE20, which are two different ladders.

Caleb Williams is a quarterback and Dalton Kincaid a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

9.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.