Should I start Caleb Williams or Justin Herbert in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 46th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Herbert, and the board ranks him 201st overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 23; 2QB: ADP 12.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 18.8 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 12 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justin Herbert's market-based projection is 12.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 31st highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Williams's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 186 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against SEA he completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 8, Justin Herbert has been on the field for 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 255 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 48 of 255 dropbacks and scrambled 22 times.

In Week 5 against DEN he completed 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 6 times for 54 yards.

In Week 6 against KC he completed 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 26 yards.

In Week 8 against LAR he completed 24 of 31 passes for 257 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 4 times for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Herbert played 16 games and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He threw for 3727 yards on 512 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 32.0 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Justin Herbert 18.7, 0.4 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 that year and Justin Herbert QB10.

Caleb Williams had 56 more pass attempts than Justin Herbert, 568 to 512.

Caleb Williams had 215 more passing yards than Justin Herbert, 3942 to 3727.

This season Justin Herbert holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Justin Herbert in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Caleb Williams has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.