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Aaron Nesmith vs Javon Small: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Aaron Nesmith in both formats: 23.5 fantasy points a game to 20.7 in points leagues, and 190th against 191st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Aaron Nesmith
SFSGINDage 27
Points leagues
#155
23.5 FP/G, slot 13.11, $1
9-cat leagues
#190
-3.6 z, slot 16.10

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Javon Small
PGSGMEMage 23
Points leagues
#200
20.7 FP/G, slot 17.08
9-cat leagues
#191
-3.6 z, slot 16.11

The call

Points leagues: draft Aaron Nesmith. 23.5 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 155th on our board to 200th.

9-cat leagues: Aaron Nesmith again, -3.6 in summed z-scores against -3.6 (190th to 191st).

Category by category, Aaron Nesmith is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM) and Javon Small in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Javon Small produces more: 36.8 fantasy points to 28.5, on 20.2 minutes a night against 29.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Aaron Nesmith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Javon Small 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Nesmith: 70.6 projected fantasy points to 62.1 for Javon Small.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAaron NesmithJavon Small
Fantasy points per game23.520.7
Minutes29.720.2
PointsPTS13.89.7
ReboundsREB4.23.1
AssistsAST1.93.7
StealsSTL0.60.8
BlocksBLK0.50.2
Threes3PM2.31.5
Field goal %FG%41.4%46.5%
Free throw %FT%82.9%82.9%
TurnoversTO1.41.4
Games, 2025-264541

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Aaron NesmithJavon Small
Fantasy points28.536.8
Points16.717.2
Rebounds5.05.6
Assists2.36.5
Steals0.71.5
Blocks0.60.4
Threes2.82.6
Turnovers1.72.4

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAaron NesmithJavon Small
PointsPTS-0.5-1.2
ReboundsREB-0.8-1.2
AssistsAST-0.9+0.0
StealsSTL-1.3-0.5
BlocksBLK-0.4-1.0
Threes3PM+0.7-0.2
Field goal percentageFG%-1.3-0.2
Free throw percentageFT%+0.2+0.2
TurnoversTO+0.6+0.6
Total-3.6-3.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, blocks, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Javon Small.

PuntAaron NesmithJavon Small
PTS-3.1 (#226)-2.4 (#184)
REB-2.9 (#183)-2.5 (#155)
AST-2.7 (#186)-3.6 (#227)
STL-2.4 (#158)-3.1 (#193)
BLK-3.4 (#194)-2.8 (#161)
3PM-4.3 (#239)-3.4 (#205)
FG%-2.2 (#126)-3.6 (#178)
FT%-3.9 (#212)-3.8 (#208)
TO-4.3 (#179)-4.4 (#182)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Aaron Nesmith: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
  • Javon Small: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Aaron Nesmith: 23.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 23.5 on the board.
  • Javon Small: 24.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Aaron Nesmith or Javon Small in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Aaron Nesmith. 23.5 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 155th on our board to 200th. 9-cat leagues: Aaron Nesmith again, -3.6 in summed z-scores against -3.6 (190th to 191st).

  • Who wins more categories, Aaron Nesmith or Javon Small?

    Category by category, Aaron Nesmith is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM) and Javon Small in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Aaron Nesmith or Javon Small?

    Aaron Nesmith plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Javon Small 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Nesmith: 70.6 projected fantasy points to 62.1 for Javon Small.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number