Ace Bailey vs Isaiah Collier: who to start in Week 2
Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Isaiah Collier 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 78.3 projected fantasy points to 77.7 for Isaiah Collier. Over the season, Ace Bailey leads in both formats: 26.1 fantasy points a game to 25.9, and 127th against 264th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 2:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #125
- 26.1 FP/G, slot 11.05, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #127
- -2.0 z, slot 11.07, $4
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #126
- 25.9 FP/G, slot 11.06, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #264
- -5.3 z, slot 22.12
The call
Points leagues: Ace Bailey. 26.1 fantasy points per game against 25.9, 125th on our board to 126th.
9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -5.3 (127th to 264th).
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Isaiah Collier in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Isaiah Collier produces more: 39.1 fantasy points to 34.1, on 23.9 minutes a night against 27.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Isaiah Collier 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 78.3 projected fantasy points to 77.7 for Isaiah Collier.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ace Bailey | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.1 | 25.9 |
| Minutes | 27.5 | 23.9 |
| PointsPTS | 13.6 | 10.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.1 | 2.8 |
| AssistsAST | 2.1 | 6.9 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.7% | 46.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.0% | 68.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ace Bailey | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.1 | 39.1 |
| Points | 17.8 | 16.3 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 10.4 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 3.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Ace Bailey | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.3 | -1.3 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | +1.7 |
| StealsSTL | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.5 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.2 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -1.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | -0.5 |
| Total | -2.0 | -5.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Ace Bailey stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Ace Bailey | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#143) | -4.2 (#291) |
| REB | -1.9 (#127) | -4.4 (#265) |
| AST | -1.3 (#114) | -6.9 (#368) |
| STL | -1.1 (#102) | -5.1 (#298) |
| BLK | -2.6 (#159) | -4.7 (#253) |
| 3PM | -2.3 (#154) | -3.9 (#220) |
| FG% | -1.5 (#108) | -5.8 (#284) |
| FT% | -1.9 (#133) | -3.8 (#210) |
| TO | -2.6 (#123) | -4.8 (#202) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Ace Bailey: 3 games (Mon MEM, Wed SAS, Sat POR), 1 back-to-back.
- Isaiah Collier: 3 games (Mon MEM, Wed SAS, Sat POR), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Ace Bailey: 31.7 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 26.1 on the board.
- Isaiah Collier: 20.5 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 25.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Isaiah Collier playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ace Bailey or Isaiah Collier?
Points leagues: Ace Bailey. 26.1 fantasy points per game against 25.9, 125th on our board to 126th. 9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -5.3 (127th to 264th).
Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Isaiah Collier?
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Isaiah Collier in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Ace Bailey or Isaiah Collier?
Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Isaiah Collier 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 78.3 projected fantasy points to 77.7 for Isaiah Collier.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 2:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number