Ajay Mitchell vs Isaiah Collier: who to start in Week 1
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Isaiah Collier 3. For that week alone, start Isaiah Collier: 78.7 projected fantasy points to 77.5 for Ajay Mitchell. Over the season, Isaiah Collier leads in points leagues (26.2 fantasy points a game to 25.8) and Ajay Mitchell in 9-cat leagues (98th against 233rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 12:29 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #125
- 25.8 FP/G, slot 11.05, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #98
- -1.3 z, slot 9.02, $8
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #122
- 26.2 FP/G, slot 11.02, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #233
- -4.5 z, slot 20.05
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Isaiah Collier. 26.2 fantasy points per game against 25.8, 122nd on our board to 125th.
9-cat leagues: Ajay Mitchell instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -4.5 (98th to 233rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 7 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Isaiah Collier in 2 (AST and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Isaiah Collier produces more: 38.3 fantasy points to 36.4, on 24.7 minutes a night against 25.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Isaiah Collier 3. For that week alone, start Isaiah Collier: 78.7 projected fantasy points to 77.5 for Ajay Mitchell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ajay Mitchell | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 25.8 | 26.2 |
| Minutes | 25.5 | 24.7 |
| PointsPTS | 12.9 | 11.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| AssistsAST | 3.5 | 6.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.6% | 70.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 57 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ajay Mitchell | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.4 | 38.3 |
| Points | 18.2 | 16.5 |
| Rebounds | 4.6 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 10.1 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 3.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Ajay Mitchell | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -0.0 | +1.7 |
| StealsSTL | +1.0 | +0.0 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.7 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | -1.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | -1.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.5 | -0.8 |
| Total | -1.3 | -4.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Ajay Mitchell stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Ajay Mitchell | Isaiah Collier |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.7 (#94) | -3.6 (#252) |
| REB | -0.2 (#60) | -3.4 (#214) |
| AST | -1.3 (#116) | -6.2 (#343) |
| STL | -2.4 (#155) | -4.6 (#275) |
| BLK | -0.7 (#81) | -4.0 (#214) |
| 3PM | -0.7 (#83) | -3.3 (#191) |
| FG% | -1.2 (#91) | -5.4 (#265) |
| FT% | -2.0 (#140) | -3.4 (#192) |
| TO | -1.9 (#103) | -3.8 (#171) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Ajay Mitchell: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
- Isaiah Collier: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
Recent games
- Ajay Mitchell: 22.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.8 on the board.
- Isaiah Collier: 18.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 26.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ajay Mitchell playing tonight? · Is Isaiah Collier playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Collier
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ajay Mitchell or Isaiah Collier?
Points leagues: Isaiah Collier. 26.2 fantasy points per game against 25.8, 122nd on our board to 125th. 9-cat leagues: Ajay Mitchell instead, -1.3 in summed z-scores against -4.5 (98th to 233rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Ajay Mitchell or Isaiah Collier?
Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 7 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Isaiah Collier in 2 (AST and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Ajay Mitchell or Isaiah Collier?
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Isaiah Collier 3. For that week alone, start Isaiah Collier: 78.7 projected fantasy points to 77.5 for Ajay Mitchell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 12:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number