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Alex Sarr vs Dyson Daniels: who to start in Week 1

Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Dyson Daniels 3. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 104.7 projected fantasy points to 104.3 for Dyson Daniels. Over the season, Alex Sarr leads in points leagues (34.9 fantasy points a game to 34.8) and Dyson Daniels in 9-cat leagues (31st against 53rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET.

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Alex Sarr
CPFWASage 21
Points leagues
#49
34.9 FP/G, slot 5.01, $19
9-cat leagues
#53
+0.3 z, slot 5.05, $17

The pick in points leagues.

Dyson Daniels
SGSFATLage 23
Points leagues
#50
34.8 FP/G, slot 5.02, $19
9-cat leagues
#31
+1.6 z, slot 3.07, $24

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 34.8, 49th on our board to 50th.

9-cat leagues: Dyson Daniels instead, +1.6 in summed z-scores against +0.3 (31st to 53rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Dyson Daniels in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Alex Sarr produces more: 46.6 fantasy points to 37.6, on 27.0 minutes a night against 33.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Dyson Daniels 3. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 104.7 projected fantasy points to 104.3 for Dyson Daniels.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAlex SarrDyson Daniels
Fantasy points per game34.934.8
Minutes27.033.3
PointsPTS15.712.4
ReboundsREB7.56.7
AssistsAST2.75.7
StealsSTL0.82.1
BlocksBLK1.90.4
Threes3PM1.00.3
Field goal %FG%47.5%52.5%
Free throw %FT%69.2%62.5%
TurnoversTO1.61.8
Games, 2025-264876

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Alex SarrDyson Daniels
Fantasy points46.637.6
Points20.913.4
Rebounds10.07.2
Assists3.66.2
Steals1.02.3
Blocks2.50.4
Threes1.30.3
Turnovers2.11.9

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAlex SarrDyson Daniels
PointsPTS-0.1-0.7
ReboundsREB+0.8+0.4
AssistsAST-0.5+1.1
StealsSTL-0.7+3.2
BlocksBLK+2.4-0.6
Threes3PM-0.7-1.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3+0.6
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9-1.0
TurnoversTO+0.3+0.1
Total+0.3+1.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists and steals flips the 9-cat answer to Alex Sarr.

PuntAlex SarrDyson Daniels
PTS+0.4 (#49)+2.2 (#15)
REB-0.7 (#80)+1.0 (#37)
AST+0.7 (#40)+0.5 (#43)
STL+0.9 (#35)-1.6 (#123)
BLK-2.4 (#146)+2.1 (#26)
3PM+0.9 (#40)+2.9 (#12)
FG%+0.2 (#58)+0.5 (#51)
FT%+1.2 (#35)+2.7 (#16)
TO-0.1 (#62)+1.6 (#38)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Alex Sarr: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
  • Dyson Daniels: 3 games (Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Alex Sarr: 19.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.
  • Dyson Daniels: 42.3 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 34.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is Dyson Daniels playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Alex Sarr

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Alex Sarr or Dyson Daniels?

    Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 34.8, 49th on our board to 50th. 9-cat leagues: Dyson Daniels instead, +1.6 in summed z-scores against +0.3 (31st to 53rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Dyson Daniels?

    Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Dyson Daniels in 3 (AST, STL and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Alex Sarr or Dyson Daniels?

    Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Dyson Daniels 3. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 104.7 projected fantasy points to 104.3 for Dyson Daniels.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number