Alex Sarr vs Jarrett Allen: who to start in Week 1
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jarrett Allen 2. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 104.7 projected fantasy points to 64.7 for Jarrett Allen. Over the season, Alex Sarr leads in points leagues (34.9 fantasy points a game to 32.4) and Jarrett Allen in 9-cat leagues (51st against 53rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #49
- 34.9 FP/G, slot 5.01, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #53
- +0.3 z, slot 5.05, $17
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #67
- 32.4 FP/G, slot 6.07, $15
- 9-cat leagues
- #51
- +0.4 z, slot 5.03, $18
Game-time decision (Knee)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 32.4, 49th on our board to 67th.
9-cat leagues: Jarrett Allen instead, +0.4 in summed z-scores against +0.3 (51st to 53rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Jarrett Allen in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Alex Sarr produces more: 46.6 fantasy points to 42.9, on 27.0 minutes a night against 27.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jarrett Allen 2. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 104.7 projected fantasy points to 64.7 for Jarrett Allen.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Alex Sarr | Jarrett Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 34.9 | 32.4 |
| Minutes | 27.0 | 27.1 |
| PointsPTS | 15.7 | 15.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.5% | 63.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.2% | 70.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 48 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Alex Sarr | Jarrett Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 46.6 | 42.9 |
| Points | 20.9 | 20.4 |
| Rebounds | 10.0 | 11.3 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Alex Sarr | Jarrett Allen |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.8 | +1.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | -0.9 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.4 | +0.3 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | -1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | +2.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.9 | -1.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.3 | +0.7 |
| Total | +0.3 | +0.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, steals, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Alex Sarr.
| Punt | Alex Sarr | Jarrett Allen |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.4 (#49) | +0.5 (#45) |
| REB | -0.7 (#80) | -1.2 (#102) |
| AST | +0.7 (#40) | +1.3 (#31) |
| STL | +0.9 (#35) | +0.4 (#49) |
| BLK | -2.4 (#146) | -0.2 (#67) |
| 3PM | +0.9 (#40) | +2.0 (#24) |
| FG% | +0.2 (#58) | -2.7 (#150) |
| FT% | +1.2 (#35) | +1.7 (#29) |
| TO | -0.1 (#62) | -0.4 (#67) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Alex Sarr: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Jarrett Allen: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN), listed GTD.
Recent games
- Alex Sarr: 19.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 34.9 on the board.
- Jarrett Allen: 33.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 32.4 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is Jarrett Allen playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Alex Sarr, Jarrett Allen
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Alex Sarr or Jarrett Allen?
Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 34.9 fantasy points per game against 32.4, 49th on our board to 67th. 9-cat leagues: Jarrett Allen instead, +0.4 in summed z-scores against +0.3 (51st to 53rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Jarrett Allen?
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Jarrett Allen in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Alex Sarr or Jarrett Allen?
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jarrett Allen 2. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 104.7 projected fantasy points to 64.7 for Jarrett Allen.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number