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Amen Thompson vs Anthony Davis: who to start in Week 1

Amen Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Anthony Davis 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Davis: 129.6 projected fantasy points to 119.5 for Amen Thompson. Over the season, Anthony Davis leads in points leagues (43.2 fantasy points a game to 39.8) and Amen Thompson in 9-cat leagues (26th against 28th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Amen Thompson
SGPGSFHOUage 23
Points leagues
#28
39.8 FP/G, slot 3.04, $27
9-cat leagues
#26
+2.3 z, slot 3.02, $29

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Anthony Davis
CPFWASage 33
Points leagues
#15
43.2 FP/G, slot 2.03, $32
9-cat leagues
#28
+2.1 z, slot 3.04, $27

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Anthony Davis. 43.2 fantasy points per game against 39.8, 15th on our board to 28th.

9-cat leagues: Amen Thompson instead, +2.3 in summed z-scores against +2.1 (26th to 28th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Amen Thompson is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%) and Anthony Davis in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Anthony Davis produces more: 49.4 fantasy points to 38.5, on 31.5 minutes a night against 37.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Amen Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Anthony Davis 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Davis: 129.6 projected fantasy points to 119.5 for Amen Thompson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAmen ThompsonAnthony Davis
Fantasy points per game39.843.2
Minutes37.231.5
PointsPTS18.220.4
ReboundsREB8.210.7
AssistsAST5.22.8
StealsSTL1.51.1
BlocksBLK0.61.5
Threes3PM0.40.5
Field goal %FG%52.6%49.0%
Free throw %FT%79.4%73.1%
TurnoversTO2.32.3
Games, 2025-267920

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Amen ThompsonAnthony Davis
Fantasy points38.549.4
Points17.623.3
Rebounds7.912.2
Assists5.03.2
Steals1.41.3
Blocks0.61.8
Threes0.40.5
Turnovers2.22.6

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAmen ThompsonAnthony Davis
PointsPTS+0.3+0.7
ReboundsREB+1.1+2.2
AssistsAST+0.8-0.4
StealsSTL+1.2+0.3
BlocksBLK-0.1+1.8
Threes3PM-1.3-1.2
Field goal percentageFG%+0.9+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.1-1.0
TurnoversTO-0.5-0.5
Total+2.3+2.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Anthony Davis.

PuntAmen ThompsonAnthony Davis
PTS+1.9 (#18)+1.3 (#30)
REB+1.1 (#37)-0.4 (#70)
AST+1.5 (#29)+2.4 (#20)
STL+1.1 (#32)+1.7 (#27)
BLK+2.3 (#23)+0.0 (#58)
3PM+3.5 (#12)+3.2 (#13)
FG%+1.0 (#41)+1.3 (#37)
FT%+2.4 (#20)+3.0 (#14)
TO+2.8 (#26)+2.5 (#32)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Amen Thompson: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.
  • Anthony Davis: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Amen Thompson: 41.4 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 39.8 on the board.
  • Anthony Davis: 39.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 43.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Amen Thompson playing tonight? · Is Anthony Davis playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Amen Thompson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Amen Thompson or Anthony Davis?

    Points leagues: Anthony Davis. 43.2 fantasy points per game against 39.8, 15th on our board to 28th. 9-cat leagues: Amen Thompson instead, +2.3 in summed z-scores against +2.1 (26th to 28th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Amen Thompson or Anthony Davis?

    Category by category, Amen Thompson is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%) and Anthony Davis in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Amen Thompson or Anthony Davis?

    Amen Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Anthony Davis 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Davis: 129.6 projected fantasy points to 119.5 for Amen Thompson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number