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Amen Thompson vs Evan Mobley: who to start in Week 1

Amen Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Evan Mobley 2. For that week alone, start Amen Thompson: 119.5 projected fantasy points to 80.1 for Evan Mobley. Over the season, Evan Mobley leads in points leagues (40.0 fantasy points a game to 39.8) and Amen Thompson in 9-cat leagues (26th against 33rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 4:29 PM ET.

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Amen Thompson
SGPGSFHOUage 23
Points leagues
#28
39.8 FP/G, slot 3.04, $27
9-cat leagues
#26
+2.3 z, slot 3.02, $29

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Evan Mobley
CPFCLEage 25
Points leagues
#27
40.0 FP/G, slot 3.03, $27
9-cat leagues
#33
+1.4 z, slot 3.09, $24

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Evan Mobley. 40.0 fantasy points per game against 39.8, 27th on our board to 28th.

9-cat leagues: Amen Thompson instead, +2.3 in summed z-scores against +1.4 (26th to 33rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Amen Thompson is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and FT%) and Evan Mobley in 5 (REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Evan Mobley produces more: 44.7 fantasy points to 38.5, on 32.2 minutes a night against 37.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Amen Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Evan Mobley 2. For that week alone, start Amen Thompson: 119.5 projected fantasy points to 80.1 for Evan Mobley.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAmen ThompsonEvan Mobley
Fantasy points per game39.840.0
Minutes37.232.2
PointsPTS18.218.3
ReboundsREB8.29.0
AssistsAST5.23.5
StealsSTL1.50.8
BlocksBLK0.61.7
Threes3PM0.41.0
Field goal %FG%52.6%54.8%
Free throw %FT%79.4%61.8%
TurnoversTO2.31.8
Games, 2025-267965

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Amen ThompsonEvan Mobley
Fantasy points38.544.7
Points17.620.4
Rebounds7.910.1
Assists5.03.9
Steals1.40.9
Blocks0.61.9
Threes0.41.1
Turnovers2.22.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAmen ThompsonEvan Mobley
PointsPTS+0.3+0.3
ReboundsREB+1.1+1.5
AssistsAST+0.8-0.0
StealsSTL+1.2-0.7
BlocksBLK-0.1+2.1
Threes3PM-1.3-0.6
Field goal percentageFG%+0.9+1.4
Free throw percentageFT%-0.1-2.6
TurnoversTO-0.5+0.1
Total+2.3+1.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Evan Mobley.

PuntAmen ThompsonEvan Mobley
PTS+1.9 (#18)+1.0 (#31)
REB+1.1 (#37)-0.5 (#76)
AST+1.5 (#29)+1.3 (#32)
STL+1.1 (#32)+2.0 (#24)
BLK+2.3 (#23)-1.0 (#93)
3PM+3.5 (#12)+2.0 (#24)
FG%+1.0 (#41)-1.0 (#86)
FT%+2.4 (#20)+4.0 (#8)
TO+2.8 (#26)+1.3 (#41)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Amen Thompson: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.
  • Evan Mobley: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Amen Thompson: 41.4 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 39.8 on the board.
  • Evan Mobley: 40.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 40.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Amen Thompson playing tonight? · Is Evan Mobley playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Amen Thompson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Amen Thompson or Evan Mobley?

    Points leagues: Evan Mobley. 40.0 fantasy points per game against 39.8, 27th on our board to 28th. 9-cat leagues: Amen Thompson instead, +2.3 in summed z-scores against +1.4 (26th to 33rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Amen Thompson or Evan Mobley?

    Category by category, Amen Thompson is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and FT%) and Evan Mobley in 5 (REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Amen Thompson or Evan Mobley?

    Amen Thompson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Evan Mobley 2. For that week alone, start Amen Thompson: 119.5 projected fantasy points to 80.1 for Evan Mobley.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 4:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number