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Andrew Nembhard vs Daniel Gafford: who to start in Week 2

Andrew Nembhard plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Andrew Nembhard: 126.7 projected fantasy points to 74.1 for Daniel Gafford. Over the season, Andrew Nembhard leads in points leagues (31.7 fantasy points a game to 24.7) and Daniel Gafford in 9-cat leagues (99th against 101st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET.

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Andrew Nembhard
PGSGINDage 26DTD
Points leagues
#68
31.7 FP/G, slot 6.08, $14
9-cat leagues
#101
-1.3 z, slot 9.05, $8

Day to day (Back)

The pick in points leagues.

Daniel Gafford
CDALage 28
Points leagues
#137
24.7 FP/G, slot 12.05, $4
9-cat leagues
#99
-1.2 z, slot 9.03, $9

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Andrew Nembhard. 31.7 fantasy points per game against 24.7, 68th on our board to 137th.

9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (99th to 101st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Andrew Nembhard is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Daniel Gafford in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 41.1 fantasy points to 36.3, on 21.6 minutes a night against 31.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Andrew Nembhard plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Andrew Nembhard: 126.7 projected fantasy points to 74.1 for Daniel Gafford.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameAndrew NembhardDaniel Gafford
Fantasy points per game31.724.7
Minutes31.421.6
PointsPTS16.88.9
ReboundsREB2.66.7
AssistsAST7.31.4
StealsSTL0.90.9
BlocksBLK0.11.4
Threes3PM1.80.0
Field goal %FG%45.6%65.1%
Free throw %FT%84.0%66.8%
TurnoversTO2.31.2
Games, 2025-265755

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Andrew NembhardDaniel Gafford
Fantasy points36.341.1
Points19.214.8
Rebounds3.011.1
Assists8.42.3
Steals1.01.4
Blocks0.12.3
Threes2.10.0
Turnovers2.71.9

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAndrew NembhardDaniel Gafford
PointsPTS+0.1-1.3
ReboundsREB-1.4+0.5
AssistsAST+1.9-1.1
StealsSTL-0.3-0.4
BlocksBLK-1.2+1.5
Threes3PM+0.2-1.8
Field goal percentageFG%-0.6+1.6
Free throw percentageFT%+0.6-1.1
TurnoversTO-0.6+0.9
Total-1.3-1.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Andrew Nembhard.

PuntAndrew NembhardDaniel Gafford
PTS-1.4 (#137)+0.1 (#56)
REB+0.0 (#55)-2.0 (#133)
AST-3.3 (#203)-0.0 (#56)
STL-1.1 (#104)-0.8 (#86)
BLK-0.2 (#65)-3.0 (#169)
3PM-1.7 (#126)+0.6 (#41)
FG%-0.8 (#83)-3.4 (#173)
FT%-2.0 (#138)-0.1 (#59)
TO-0.8 (#74)-2.2 (#117)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Andrew Nembhard: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
  • Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Mon @MIA, Wed OKC, Fri HOU).

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Andrew Nembhard: 27.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 31.7 on the board.
  • Daniel Gafford: 26.3 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 24.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Andrew Nembhard playing tonight? · Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Andrew Nembhard or Daniel Gafford?

    Points leagues: Andrew Nembhard. 31.7 fantasy points per game against 24.7, 68th on our board to 137th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford instead, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (99th to 101st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Andrew Nembhard or Daniel Gafford?

    Category by category, Andrew Nembhard is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Daniel Gafford in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Andrew Nembhard or Daniel Gafford?

    Andrew Nembhard plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Daniel Gafford 3. For that week alone, start Andrew Nembhard: 126.7 projected fantasy points to 74.1 for Daniel Gafford.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number